Live Stream for Mets vs Rockies Game – Sunday, June 8, 2025

New York Mets

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Colorado Rockies

The New York Mets travel to Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies in the third game of their series on June 8, 2025. Following a tough loss yesterday, the Rockies are struggling mightily, sitting at a dismal 12-52 record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets hold a much more respectable 41-24, showcasing their strong offensive prowess, which ranks 7th in MLB.

Chase Dollander is projected to take the mound for Colorado, and while he ranks as the 155th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, he’s had an underwhelming season with a 6.26 ERA. Dollander’s peripherals suggest he might be unlucky, but he faces a daunting challenge against a Mets lineup that thrives against pitchers like him, thanks in part to their high walk rate—ranked 3rd in MLB. Dollander’s own struggles with control (11.3 BB%) only add to the potential for trouble.

On the other side, Tylor Megill is set to start for New York. With a much more favorable ranking of 42nd among pitchers and a solid ERA of 3.77, Megill has been a key part of the Mets’ success. His strikeout ability (30.4 K%) will be essential against a Rockies offense that leads MLB in strikeouts. However, Megill’s own high walk rate (10.8 BB%) may present opportunities, though the Rockies’ offense ranks 4th in least walks, making them less likely to capitalize on his control issues.

With a game total currently set at 10.5 runs, this matchup could see some fireworks, particularly if Megill can deliver a strong outing. The Mets are sizable favorites, with a moneyline of -270 reflecting their dominance against a struggling Rockies team. As the season progresses, this clash offers a critical chance for the Mets to distance themselves further in the standings while the Rockies aim to salvage what has been a challenging season.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Tylor Megill is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under Total Bases
  Extreme groundball bats like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chase Dollander.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under Strikeouts
  With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Chase Dollander encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Ryan Ritter – Over/Under Hits
  Ryan Ritter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Colorado’s 89.1-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in baseball: #24 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under Game Total
  The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)