Live Stream for Giants vs White Sox Game – Saturday, June 28, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Chicago White Sox

As the San Francisco Giants and Chicago White Sox continue their interleague series at Guaranteed Rate Field on June 28, 2025, the stakes remain high for both teams, albeit for different reasons. The Giants, boasting a record of 45-37, are looking to maintain their momentum after winning yesterday’s game 3-1 against the White Sox, who sit at a disappointing 26-56.

On the mound, the Giants will send left-hander Robbie Ray to the hill. Ray has been solid this season, posting an impressive 2.83 ERA and a 8-2 win/loss record across 16 starts. Although his 3.75 xFIP indicates he might have benefitted from some good fortune, he projects to handle the White Sox lineup effectively. With a strikeout projection of 6.1 per outing, Ray should be able to exploit a struggling Chicago offense that ranks 30th in MLB in batting average and overall performance.

In contrast, the White Sox will counter with right-hander Adrian Houser, who has had a mixed season thus far. His excellent 2.27 ERA hides a less flattering 4.15 xFIP, suggesting he may be due for regression. While he has a 2-2 record in six starts, Houser’s ability to control the game is questionable—he projects to allow 5.3 hits and 2.7 earned runs in 5.2 innings of work today.

Given the disparities in pitching quality and offensive performance, the Giants enter this matchup with a distinct advantage. The projections favor San Francisco, which could further enhance their chances of a strong showing as they aim to build on their recent success and capitalize on a White Sox team that has been consistently underwhelming this season.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Robbie Ray – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  The Chicago White Sox have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Extreme groundball bats like Mike Yastrzemski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Adrian Houser’s 93.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.2-mph increase from last year’s 92.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Michael A. Taylor – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Michael A. Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Josh Rojas, Austin Slater).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)
  Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)