Live Stream for Dodgers vs Yankees Game – Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

New York Yankees

As the New York Yankees face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium on October 29, 2024, fans will witness a clash between two of the top offenses in baseball. With both teams showing impressive regular-season form, it’s a matchup that promises fireworks, especially given that both lineups are ranked among the best in home runs this season—Dodgers hold the 1st spot while the Yankees are right behind in 2nd. However, the Yankees will be eager for redemption after falling to the Dodgers 4-2 in the previous game on October 28.

The Yankees, currently sitting comfortably at the top of the American League standings, are slight favorites with a moneyline of -135 and an implied win probability of 55%. On the mound for New York is Luis Gil, who has been steady this season with a 15-7 record and a 3.50 ERA. Despite his solid surface stats, his 4.36 xFIP suggests some regression could be imminent. Gil tends to give up flyballs, which might be a concern against the power-packed Dodgers lineup, but the Yankees’ 3rd-ranked bullpen offers a reliable safety net.

Opposing Gil is Dodgers’ Ben Casparius, who, despite a stellar 2.16 ERA in limited action, is statistically projected as one of the weaker options on the mound. Casparius has struggled with command, allowing frequent walks, and could face challenges against the patient Yankees hitters who rank 1st in walks drawn.

The Dodgers enter the game with a moneyline of +115, reflecting a 45% implied win probability. Despite being slight underdogs, their elite offense, led by Shohei Ohtani, poses a constant threat. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, backs the Yankees with a 56% win probability, projecting them to score 4.99 runs. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are projected to push across 4.60 runs.

In a highly-anticipated interleague matchup, both teams’ offensive prowess and pitching performances will be pivotal in determining the outcome. As the series draws to a close, fans can expect a tightly-contested face-off between these baseball powerhouses.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (+115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense profiles as the weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-135)
  Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Los Angeles’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games at home (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+23.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-150/+115)
  Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)