Live Stream Details for Cardinals vs Phillies – Tuesday, May 13, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals

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Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 93rd percentile among all starters in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  This season, Willson Contreras has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.2 mph compared to last year’s 95.1 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-120)
  The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 46.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 27.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+100)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 81% ROI)
• Masyn Winn – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
  Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)