
Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Dodgers
(-110/-110)-235
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Los Angeles Angels at Dodger Stadium on May 17, 2025, in the second game of their interleague series. After a disappointing 6-2 loss to the Angels yesterday, the Dodgers, who hold a strong record of 29-16, look to bounce back against their city rivals. Meanwhile, the Angels, struggling with an 18-25 record, have been fortunate to secure a win after their own rough stretch.
Clayton Kershaw is projected to take the mound for the Dodgers, having been ranked as the 63rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Despite a rough outing in his last start on August 30, where he went only one inning and allowed three earned runs, Kershaw’s pedigree and the Dodgers’ powerful offense provide a strong advantage. The Dodgers rank 1st in MLB in team batting average and are 2nd in home runs, with 74 bombs this season. Kershaw’s only real concern may be his projected struggles today, as he is expected to allow 4.2 hits and 1.2 walks on average.
On the other side, Tyler Anderson will pitch for the Angels. Anderson has shown flashes of effectiveness this season, with a solid 2.58 ERA, but his xFIP of 4.74 suggests he may not be able to maintain this level of performance. The Dodgers’ high-flying lineup, known for turning good pitches into home runs, could exploit Anderson’s tendency to give up fly balls, a dangerous prospect given the Dodgers’ power.
With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs and the Dodgers favored at -210, expectations are high for a strong offensive showing from Los Angeles, who has an implied team total of 5.28 runs. Meanwhile, the Angels, projected to score 3.72 runs, will need to rely on their power-hitting capabilities to keep the game competitive.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+150)Tyler Anderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue in the majors today.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)This season, Zach Neto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year’s 94.5 mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Los Angeles Angels – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Angels bullpen grades out as the 9th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)With 8 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Clayton Kershaw faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Miguel Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Rojas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-155/+120)Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)