Live Score for Marlins vs Angels – May 25th, 2025

Miami Marlins

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face off against the Miami Marlins on May 25, 2025, both teams are looking to bounce back after their previous encounter, where the Angels fell 6-2. Currently, the Angels sit with a record of 25-26, positioning them in a mediocre spot in the league, while the Marlins are struggling significantly with a 20-30 record, marking them as one of the lower-tier teams this season.

The Angels are set to start Kyle Hendricks, who, despite being ranked as the 258th best starting pitcher in MLB, may have some untapped potential. His 5.32 ERA this year is concerning, but the projections suggest he could perform better, as his expected ERA (xERA) of 4.75 indicates he’s been somewhat unlucky. Hendricks projects to pitch 5.8 innings, allowing an average of 3.1 earned runs, while striking out only 3.9 batters on average—far from impressive.

On the other side, Edward Cabrera of the Marlins has had a rough season as well, with a 5.50 ERA and a win/loss record of 0-1 over 7 starts. His projections are not much more promising, as he’s expected to pitch 5.0 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs on average, but with a concerning 2.5 walks per game.

Offensively, the Angels rank 20th overall and 26th in team batting average, yet they are 3rd in home runs, which could be critical against Cabrera’s struggles. The Marlins, while averaging better at 16th overall, rank only 22nd in home runs, limiting their scoring potential.

Betting markets project a close game, with the Angels holding a moneyline of -120 and an implied team total of 4.61 runs. Given the struggles of both pitchers and the Angels’ offensive power, they may have the upper hand in this matchup.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Edward Cabrera – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Edward Cabrera’s four-seamer percentage has fallen by 19.7% from last season to this one (27.4% to 7.7%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Matt Mervis – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Matt Mervis is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  The Miami Marlins bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Kyle Hendricks’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.9 mph this year (85.6 mph) below where it was last year (87.5 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
  Nolan Schanuel has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)
  When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-150)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Matt Mervis – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+130/-170)
  Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 71% ROI)