
Philadelphia Phillies
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+160O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)Kyle Schwarber has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 97-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Philadelphia Phillies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 5th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s curveball usage has fallen by 5.6% from last season to this one (23.2% to 17.6%) .Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Max Muncy is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-205)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games at home (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 117 games (+18.76 Units / 14% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)