
New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox
(-110/-110)+145
The Boston Red Sox will host the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on June 14, 2025, in what promises to be an engaging American League East matchup. The Yankees enter this game riding high on a great season with a record of 42-26, while the Red Sox have had a more average performance at 35-36. Last night, the Yankees edged the Red Sox in a tightly contested series opener, setting the stage for another exciting battle.
On the mound, Boston’s Hunter Dobbins is projected to start after a mixed season, ranking 165th among MLB starting pitchers. While Dobbins has a solid 3-1 record, his 4.20 ERA suggests he may struggle against the Yankees’ powerful offense, which ranks 1st in the league. In contrast, New York will counter with Carlos Rodon, a left-handed ace, who has an impressive 2.87 ERA and ranks 57th among starters. Rodon has been strong this season, boasting an 8-4 record and an ability to strike out hitters at a 31.0% rate. His strength could exploit the Red Sox’s weaknesses, as they rank 2nd in MLB for team strikeouts.
Offensively, the Red Sox have been productive, standing as the 6th best offense in the league, bolstered by their 7th best ranking in home runs. However, they face a tough challenge against a Yankees lineup that excels in both batting average and power. The projections suggest a favorable outcome for the Yankees, with a high team total of 4.75 runs, while the Red Sox’s projection is lower at 3.75 runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+145)The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)