Injury Report for Yankees vs Tigers – Wednesday, April 9th, 2025

New York Yankees

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Detroit Tigers

On April 9, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the New York Yankees at Comerica Park in a pivotal matchup between two teams with strong offensive capabilities. The Tigers, currently sitting at 7-4, have gotten off to a solid start this season, while the Yankees, with a record of 6-5, are performing above average. In their last game, the Yankees fell to the Tigers, who showcased their offensive prowess.

The matchup features two intriguing starting pitchers. Jack Flaherty, projected to take the mound for the Tigers, is ranked 52nd among MLB starting pitchers according to advanced stats. He has posted a 2.38 ERA this season, suggesting solid performance, but his 3.64 xFIP indicates he may have had some luck on his side. Flaherty has been a high-flyball pitcher, which could be a concern against a Yankees lineup that has already hit 25 home runs this season, ranking 2nd in MLB.

On the other hand, Max Fried, slated to start for the Yankees, stands out as the 9th best starting pitcher in MLB. With a 2.61 ERA and a low walk rate, Fried’s ability to control the game could serve him well against a Tigers offense that, while ranked 4th overall in MLB, struggles with drawing walks. Fried’s groundball tendencies may neutralize the Tigers’ power, making it challenging for them to capitalize on opportunities.

With a Game Total set at a low 7.0 runs, the betting odds favor the Yankees with a moneyline of -145, but the projections suggest the Tigers could exceed expectations. Given the Tigers’ strong offensive ranking and the Yankees’ bullpen struggles, this matchup could be closer than anticipated.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-150)
  The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen grades out as the 9th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
  Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)
  Colt Keith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Andy Ibanez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Andy Ibanez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 56 of their last 89 games (+20.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 79 of their last 141 games (+15.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+560/-1000)
  Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)