Injury Report for Cardinals vs Marlins – Wednesday, August 20th, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Miami Marlins

On August 20, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the St. Louis Cardinals at LoanDepot Park for the third game of their series. The Marlins currently sit with a record of 59-67, reflecting a below-average season, while the Cardinals are slightly ahead at 63-64, marking an average campaign. Both teams are not in contention for their respective divisions, but they are still looking to improve their standings.

In their last matchup, the Cardinals triumphed over the Marlins with a score of 7-4, which adds some pressure on Miami coming into this game. The Marlins will rely on Sandy Alcantara, who is projected to pitch 6.0 innings today. Despite his subpar Win/Loss record of 6-11 and a concerning ERA of 6.31, Alcantara has shown signs of being unlucky this season, as indicated by his 4.44 xFIP, suggesting he could be due for a turnaround. He pitched well in his last start on August 15, going 6 innings with only 1 earned run allowed.

The Cardinals will counter with Andre Pallante, who has a record of 6-10 and an ERA of 5.04. While Pallante’s performance has been average, he has had trouble with walks and hits, projecting 1.9 walks and 5.4 hits allowed today—both of which are concerning against a Marlins offense that ranks 18th overall but 10th in batting average.

Betting markets indicate this matchup should be close, with both teams at a moneyline of -110. Interestingly, while the Marlins look to bounce back, their advanced projections are slightly more favorable than their current implied win probability, suggesting they could pull off a win in this critical series.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Andre Pallante’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (42.1% compared to 30.9% last year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-110)
  The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Heriberto Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Heriberto Hernandez’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.8-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Joey Wiemer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 65 games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Andre Pallante – Over/Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-115/-115)
  Andre Pallante has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)