Injuries Update for D-Backs vs Mets – April 09, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

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New York Mets

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has utilized his secondary pitches 18.8% more often this year (63.3%) than he did last year (44.5%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Ketel Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year’s 90.7-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Today’s version of the D-Backs projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .293 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .314 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – Moneyline (-180)
  Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Luis Torrens – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
  As it relates to his batting average, Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .231 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .302.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• New York Mets hitters as a unit rank among the elite in baseball since the start of last season (2nd-) as far as their 90.5-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-150)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Mark Vientos has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)