How to Watch the Rockies vs Marlins Game – Tuesday June 03, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Miami Marlins

On June 3, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the Colorado Rockies at LoanDepot Park in what is shaping up to be an intriguing matchup, especially after the Rockies’ recent win over the Marlins by a score of 6-4 the previous day. Both teams are struggling this season, sitting at the bottom of their division, with the Marlins holding a record of 23-35 and the Rockies at a dismal 10-50.

The Marlins are projected to start Sandy Alcantara, who, despite a challenging season with a Win/Loss record of 2-7 and an ERA of 8.47, is still ranked as the 54th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. Alcantara’s advanced metrics suggest he has been unlucky, as his xFIP stands at 4.83, indicating potential for improvement. He averages 6.6 innings pitched per game, projecting to allow only 2.4 earned runs but struggles with walks, averaging 1.3 per game.

On the other side, the Rockies will counter with Chase Dollander, a below-average pitcher with a 2-5 record and an ERA of 6.28. Dollander’s projections paint a bleak picture, as he is expected to pitch only 4.4 innings and allow 2.3 earned runs while giving up 1.5 walks per game.

The Marlins offense ranks 18th overall, showcasing average talent, while the Rockies’ offense is at the bottom, ranked 30th and struggling significantly with a mere 51 home runs this season, the 4th least in MLB. With the Marlins being the betting favorites at -170, their implied total of 4.77 runs reflects confidence in their ability to capitalize against a struggling Rockies squad.

Given the context of both teams’ struggles and Alcantara’s potential for better performance, the Marlins seem poised to bounce back from their recent loss and secure a win in this pivotal matchup.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing bats today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Compared to their .321 overall projected rate, the .300 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-170)
  The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Extreme flyball batters like Jesus Sanchez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Miami Marlins’ bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+145/-190)
  Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)