Los Angeles Dodgers
Oakland Athletics
(-115/-105)+125
The Oakland Athletics will host the Los Angeles Dodgers in an intriguing interleague matchup on August 4, 2024, at Oakland Coliseum. With Los Angeles currently holding a record of 64-47—positioning them well for a playoff run—the Athletics struggle at 46-66, reflecting a challenging season. This is the third game of their series, and the Athletics will look to bounce back after a tough loss in their last outing.
Projected starters Osvaldo Bido for the Athletics and River Ryan for the Dodgers present a contrasting performance landscape. Bido, ranked as the 228th best starting pitcher by advanced-stat Power Rankings, has a below-average 5.00 ERA this season, suggesting he has faced some bad luck but has struggled with a 12.6% walk rate. His projections indicate he could allow approximately 2.5 earned runs, 4.5 hits, and 1.7 walks in just 4.6 innings, matching him against a Dodgers’ offense that leads MLB with an impressive 139 home runs.
River Ryan, on the other hand, exhibits excellent form with a sparkling 0.82 ERA, raising questions about sustainability given his 4.89 projected xFIP. He has been solid in his starts but could face a powerful Athletics lineup, which ranks 4th in home runs with 132 this season. This dynamic could favor Oakland, especially with their emerging hitter, JJ Bleday, showcasing a hot streak with a .462 average and 1.269 OPS over the last week.
With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs, betting lines favor the Dodgers at -150, implying a strong likelihood of victory despite the Athletics’ underrated power potential. The Athletics may be viewed as underdogs with notable offensive capabilities that could translate into an upset if Bido outperforms projections.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Jason Heyward – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)Jason Heyward has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the 8th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Oakland Athletics Insights
- Oakland Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)Osvaldo Bido has compiled a colossal 9.53 ERA over his last 3 starts.Explain: A pitcher who has struggled in his most recent outings may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)Brent Rooker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 100.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Oakland Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-135)The Oakland Athletics have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jason Heyward – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+130/-170)Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+17.55 Units / 30% ROI)