Giants vs Dodgers Injury Report – Sunday, June 15, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

On June 15, 2025, a crucial National League West matchup sees the Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the San Francisco Giants at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers currently sit atop the division with a record of 42-29, while the Giants trail closely at 41-30. Yesterday, the Dodgers secured a solid 11-5 win over the Giants, underscoring their dominance at the plate, as they maintain the 1st best offense in MLB.

Projected to start for the Dodgers is Dustin May, a right-handed pitcher who is having an up-and-down season with a 3-4 record and an average ERA of 4.46. His xFIP of 3.92 projects better performance moving forward, and he is expected to go approximately 5.6 innings while allowing around 2.4 earned runs. His last outing saw him struggle, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 innings, though his overall performance metrics suggest he has been somewhat unlucky this season.

Countering May will be Kyle Harrison, a left-handed pitcher for the Giants who has a less impressive profile with a 1-1 record and a 4.56 ERA. Harrison is projected to pitch only 4.7 innings, with projections indicating he may give up around 3.2 earned runs. This suggests the Giants may be leaning heavily on their bullpen, which is rated 2nd best in MLB.

Looking at the offensive side, the Dodgers have a commanding advantage with the top-ranked run production, batting average, and home runs across the league. Meanwhile, the Giants’ offense ranks 22nd, revealing a stark contrast in current form. Against a below-average pitcher like Harrison, these numbers could spell trouble for San Francisco.

Despite the betting odds giving the Dodgers a favorable moneyline of -175, their projections suggest there might be room for a stronger performance than anticipated, particularly with the Giants struggling offensively. With both teams in competitive spirits, this matchup promises to be one to watch closely.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Kyle Harrison’s higher usage percentage of his fastball this year (65.3 vs. 57.7% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  In his previous game started, Dustin May was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Freddie Freeman is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)
  Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)