Get Tickets Information for Mets vs Tigers – 9/2/2025

New York Mets logo

New York Mets

@
Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

-130O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)
+110

The Detroit Tigers host the New York Mets on September 2, 2025, in a pivotal interleague matchup. Both teams are in solid positions, with the Tigers holding a record of 80-59 and the Mets sitting at 74-64. The Tigers are having a great season, while the Mets are performing above average. In their previous game, the Mets won decisively, showcasing their offensive strength.

The matchup features Sawyer Gipson-Long for the Tigers and Nolan McLean for the Mets. Gipson-Long, despite his average ERA of 4.32, has struggled with a 0-1 record this season. He projects to pitch about 4.1 innings, allowing approximately 2.5 earned runs with three strikeouts. His low walk rate may be an advantage against the Mets’ patient hitters, who rank 4th in MLB for walks. However, he faces a challenging task against a potent Mets offense ranked 5th overall, which has been firing on all cylinders, led by a player with a scorching 1.490 OPS over the past week.

On the other hand, McLean has been outstanding, boasting an impressive 0.89 ERA and a 3-0 record this season. While his projections suggest he will pitch 5.0 innings and allow around 2.5 earned runs, his high strikeout rate of 28.8% could pose problems for the Tigers, who rank 4th in MLB for strikeouts.

Overall, the Tigers’ offense ranks 11th in MLB, with a strong home run output, but they’ve been limited in stolen bases, ranking last in the league. The Tigers’ bullpen ranks 4th, giving them a slight edge if the game remains close. With the game total set at 8.5 runs, this matchup promises to be a competitive affair.

New York Mets Insights

  • Nolan McLean – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
    Nolan McLean has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
    Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
  • Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+225/-305)
    Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Detroit (#3-worst of all teams today).
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
  • New York Mets – Moneyline (-130)
    The 3rd-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.
    Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Sawyer Gipson-Long – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
    The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Sawyer Gipson-Long in this matchup.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • Javier Baez – Over/Under Total Bases
    Javier Baez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.
    Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
  • Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+115)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 64 games at home (+19.08 Units / 26% ROI)
  • New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
    The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-200)
    Brett Baty has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)