
Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Angels
(-115/-105)+130
The Los Angeles Angels will host the Chicago Cubs at Angel Stadium on August 23, 2025, in the second game of their interleague series. The Cubs currently sit in a strong position in the standings with a record of 74-55, while the Angels are struggling at 61-67. After a closely contested matchup yesterday, where the Angels fell 3-2 to the Cubs, both teams will be looking to capitalize on today’s opportunities.
On the mound, the Angels project Victor Mederos, a right-handed pitcher with a challenging season thus far. Mederos holds a 0-1 record and an alarming 5.54 ERA, ranking him as the 316th best starting pitcher in MLB. His recent outings have not inspired confidence, as he pitched 5 innings with 3 earned runs and 9 hits in his last start. Mederos’s projections suggest he will struggle again today, with averages of 3.5 earned runs and 5.4 hits allowed.
In contrast, the Cubs will send Cade Horton to the hill. Horton has been solid this season, boasting a record of 7-4 and a commendable 3.08 ERA. While his xFIP indicates he may not be as effective going forward, he is considered an average pitcher and has performed well in his last abbreviated start, allowing just 1 earned run over 3 innings.
Offensively, the Cubs rank 8th in MLB, showcasing their ability to score runs effectively. The Angels, while averaging a respectable 4.33 runs in this matchup, rank 27th in team batting average. This disparity could play a crucial role in today’s game.
With the Angels’ offense struggling to find consistency and Mederos facing an uphill battle, the Cubs are favored to take another game in this series. The projections lean towards a high-scoring affair, with a game total set at 9.5 runs, indicating potential for offensive fireworks.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Cade Horton – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Cade Horton’s high utilization rate of his fastball (54.9% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Willi Castro – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)Willi Castro has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago Cubs – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Jo Adell has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 104.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-125)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-115/-115)Zach Neto has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.10 Units / 45% ROI)