Get the Latest Score Updates for Tigers vs Yankees – Wednesday September 10, 2025

Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

@
New York Yankees logo

New York Yankees

+145O/U: 8
(-110/-110)
-165

As the New York Yankees host the Detroit Tigers on September 10, 2025, this matchup is particularly significant, with both teams showcasing solid seasons. The Yankees sit at 80-64, while the Tigers hold an impressive 83-62 record. Both clubs are having strong campaigns, and this game marks the second in their series, following a key victory for the Tigers yesterday.

Carlos Rodon is set to take the mound for the Yankees, and he enters this game with a favorable Win/Loss record of 16-7 and an outstanding ERA of 3.12. His advanced metrics suggest he has been a bit lucky this season, facing a Tigers lineup that has the 5th most strikeouts in the league, which could play to Rodon’s high-strikeout tendency; he boasts a 26.1% strikeout rate. However, Rodon’s tendency to allow an average of 4.3 hits and 2.0 walks raises a few concerns.

Jack Flaherty, projected to pitch for the Tigers, has struggled this season with a 7-13 record and a concerning ERA of 4.85. Even though Flaherty has an impressive strikeout rate of 27.5%, he faces a Yankees offense that ranks as the 1st best in MLB, particularly potent with their 245 home runs. Flaherty’s propensity to allow fly balls might amplify the Yankees’ power-hitting advantage.

The Yankees’ offense is also supported by their solid overall team batting average, ranking at 14th in MLB. This game total is set at 8.0 runs, reflecting an average expectation. Given the context of the standings and the Yankees’ potent offensive capabilities against Flaherty’s pitching, the Yankees appear to be in a favorable position, especially with their current betting line favoring them as the -165 favorite.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
    Jack Flaherty’s 92.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.1-mph fall off from last season’s 93.3-mph figure.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
  • Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
    New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Dillon Dingler, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
  • The 9.7% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers ranks them as the #6 team in the majors this year by this metric.
    Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
    Compared to the average starter, Carlos Rodon has been granted an above-average leash this year, tallying an additional 6.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
    Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
  • Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
    Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
    Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
    The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+14.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 73 of their last 128 games (+15.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+950/-2900)
    Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)