Get the Latest Score Updates for Dodgers vs Guardians – Wednesday May 28, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Cleveland Guardians

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 28, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling matchup. The Guardians are currently sitting at 29-25, enjoying an above-average season, while the Dodgers lead with an impressive 34-21 record, showcasing their strength in the league. In their previous encounter on May 27, the Guardians fell to the Dodgers with a score of 9-5, bringing some urgency to this third game of the series as they seek to bounce back.

Cleveland is projected to start Kolby Allard, who has made a mark this season with a remarkable 1.50 ERA, despite ranking as the 307th best pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. Allard, a lefty, has primarily been used out of the bullpen, with zero starts to his name this year. However, he is expected to pitch around 4.3 innings today, which is concerning given that he projects to allow 2.7 earned runs, 4.9 hits, and 1.4 walks on average. His high flyball percentage (43 FB%) could be problematic against a powerful Dodgers lineup, which has already belted 87 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in MLB.

On the opposing side, the Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw. Although Kershaw has struggled with a 7.50 ERA this season, projections suggest he may perform better today with an average projection of allowing 2.0 earned runs over 5.4 innings. The Guardians’ offense currently ranks 24th overall and 25th in batting average, which could play into Kershaw’s favor.

With an implied team total of just 3.73 runs for Cleveland, the Guardians will need to pull together their offense against a Dodgers team that boasts the 2nd best offense in the league. As the Guardians aim to shake off their recent loss, they face a tall order against a well-rounded and powerful opponent.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Considering that flyball pitchers have a substantial advantage over flyball hitters, Clayton Kershaw and his 44.7% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in this outing matching up with 2 opposing FB hitters.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Miguel Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Rojas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kolby Allard.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-170)
  The best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Kolby Allard – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Kolby Allard has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Angel Martinez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+150)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)