Get the Injury Report for Braves vs Marlins – Tuesday August 26th, 2025

Atlanta Braves logo

Atlanta Braves

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Miami Marlins logo

Miami Marlins

-125O/U: 8
(-110/-110)
+105

On August 26, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the Atlanta Braves at LoanDepot Park for the second game of their series. This matchup is particularly pivotal as both teams are trying to finish the season strong, even though neither is performing at a playoff-caliber level. Miami sits at 62-69, while Atlanta is slightly behind with a record of 59-72. The Marlins recently edged out the Braves 2-1 in their last game, giving them some momentum as they look to make it two in a row.

Marlins’ ace Sandy Alcantara is projected to take the mound, boasting a solid 4.35 xFIP despite a rough 6.04 ERA this season. While Alcantara has been slightly unfortunate, he turned in a strong performance in his last start with 7 innings pitched, allowing just 1 earned run and notching 9 strikeouts. However, his tendency to allow hits—averaging 5.5 per game—could be a concern against a Braves lineup looking to break out offensively.

Hurston Waldrep will counter for the Braves, enjoying an impressive 0.73 ERA in only 4 starts. Yet, the projections indicate that he may have benefitted from good luck, as his xFIP sits at 3.07. Waldrep’s high strikeout rate of 27.0% could be challenged by a Marlins offense that ranks as one of the lowest in striking out, which may work to Miami’s advantage.

While Miami’s offense ranks 19th overall, they are 14th in batting average and lead in stolen bases, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. On the other hand, Atlanta’s offense is rated 15th, performing averagely, though their power has been underwhelming with a ranking of 17th in home runs.

The game total sits at a modest 8.0 runs, indicating expectations for a tightly contested battle. The odds currently favor Atlanta at -135, suggesting that sportsbooks believe in a slight edge for the Braves, but Alcantara’s recent form could very well tip the scales back in favor of the Marlins. With their best hitter also finding his groove, Miami might just have the tools to upset the odds in this crucial encounter.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Hurston Waldrep – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
    Hurston Waldrep’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (77.5% since the start of last season) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
    Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
  • Michael Harris II – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
    Michael Harris II is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Miami (#2-best on the slate).
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
  • Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
    Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

  • Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+105)
    The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.
    Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
  • Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
    Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
    Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
  • Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+105)
    The Miami Marlins projected offense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.
    Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

  • Miami Marlins – Run Line +1.5 (-155)
    The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 69 of their last 113 games (+13.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
    The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
    Marcell Ozuna has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)