Get the Injury Report for Braves vs Cardinals – Sunday July 13th, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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St. Louis Cardinals

As the St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves on July 13, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in contrasting seasons. The Cardinals sit at 50-46, enjoying an above-average year, while the Braves are struggling at 42-52. This matchup is particularly intriguing as the teams faced off just yesterday, with the Braves edging out the Cardinals 7-6 in a closely contested game.

On the mound for St. Louis, Sonny Gray is projected to start. Gray is enjoying a solid season, boasting a 9-3 record and a respectable 3.51 ERA, ranking him as the 21st best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. Despite some inconsistencies, his projections indicate he will average 5.4 innings pitched while allowing just 2.1 earned runs. The Cardinals’ offense, ranked 14th overall, will look to capitalize on Gray’s strong outing and build on their capability, particularly after their recent loss.

Conversely, Atlanta will send Davis Daniel to the mound, who has had a rough go in limited appearances. With an ERA of 0.00, his projections suggest he may be due for regression, as his xFIP of 5.57 indicates he has been lucky thus far. Daniel’s lack of experience as a starter could be a significant disadvantage against a Cardinals lineup that ranks 10th in batting average.

Given the Cardinals’ favorable odds with a moneyline of -155 and an implied team total of 4.66 runs, they appear poised to rebound from their recent defeat. With Sonny Gray’s solid track record and the Braves’ ongoing struggles, this game presents a prime opportunity for St. Louis to secure a much-needed victory.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Jurickson Profar – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Sonny Gray in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Because flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Sonny Gray (43.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Pedro Pages – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  Placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Pedro Pages has average 0 steals per 600 plate appearances this year.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• St. Louis Cardinals hitters as a group rank in the cellar of MLB this year ( 10th-worst) as it relates to their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line -1.5 (+130)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 94 games (+9.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
  Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 16% ROI)