Get the Cubs vs Giants Injury Report – Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Chicago Cubs

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San Francisco Giants

The Chicago Cubs visit the San Francisco Giants on August 27, 2025, in a pivotal matchup as the two teams compete for position in the National League standings. The Cubs currently sit comfortably above .500 at 76-56, showcasing a strong season thus far. In contrast, the Giants are struggling with a record of 64-68 and are projected to finish below average this year.

In yesterday’s meeting, the Cubs notched a solid win, continuing their impressive run. They enter this game with a potent offense that ranks 9th in MLB, highlighted by their power with a 7th place ranking in home runs. The Giants’ offense, on the other hand, has faltered, sitting at 25th in the league, and has struggled significantly, ranking 29th in batting average and home runs.

On the mound, the Giants will start Carson Whisenhunt, who has faced challenges this season, evidenced by his below-average ERA of 4.91 and an xERA of 6.64. Whisenhunt is projected to pitch around 4.7 innings, allowing 2.7 earned runs and striking out only 3.3 batters, making for a tough matchup against the Cubs’ lineup. Colin Rea will take the hill for the Cubs, boasting a solid 3.96 ERA and a win/loss record of 10-5, providing Chicago with a reliable option.

Additionally, the projections indicate that the Giants have a slightly undervalued chance to surpass their implied team total of 4.10 runs today. With the Cubs’ bullpen ranking 7th overall and the Giants’ bullpen at 25th, the odds favor the Cubs significantly.

As the teams gear up for this contest, the Cubs’ strengths, particularly against a struggling Giants’ offense and pitching staff, could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this pivotal matchup.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Colin Rea – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Colin Rea has utilized his four-seamer 23.1% more often this year (43%) than he did last year (19.9%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Carson Kelly – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.4-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Chicago Cubs (19.6 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  Carson Whisenhunt has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .223 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
  Explain: Casual fans and the mainstream media don’t realize that pitchers have limited control over the hits they allow, which can drastically skew their results and the way the market treats them.
• Luis Matos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Luis Matos has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 17.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 66 of their last 129 games (+16.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)