Get Bets and Betting Tips for Tigers vs Twins – 4/12/2025

Detroit Tigers

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Minnesota Twins

As the Minnesota Twins prepare to take on the Detroit Tigers at Target Field on April 12, 2025, both teams find themselves on opposite ends of the performance spectrum so far this season. The Twins, sitting at 4-9, are struggling significantly, while the Tigers boast a much stronger record at 7-5. This matchup in the American League Central is crucial for both clubs, especially for the Twins, who are looking to turn their fortunes around.

In their previous outing, the Twins’ bats showed some life, with their best hitter recording 2 home runs in the last week, contributing to a solid .350 batting average and 1.159 OPS. However, the overall offense still needs to improve to support their pitching staff, which has been concerning. Chris Paddack is projected to take the mound and, despite being ranked as the 174th best starting pitcher in MLB, he brings an average projection with 5.3 innings and 2.7 earned runs expected. However, he also has a troubling stat of allowing 5.3 hits and 1.3 walks on average, which could spell trouble against a potent Tigers lineup.

On the other side, Detroit’s Jackson Jobe is projected to struggle even more, with the projections suggesting he may pitch only 4.7 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. Jobe’s difficult season is reflected in his status as one of the worst pitchers in MLB. The Tigers will need to capitalize on Paddack’s weaknesses, especially considering he has shown vulnerability to giving up hits.

Betting markets have set the moneyline at -110 for both teams, indicating a close contest. With the average Game Total set at 8.5 runs, expect this matchup to be both competitive and engaging as the Twins aim to improve their standing while the Tigers look to maintain their strong start to the season.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jackson Jobe – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to league average, Jackson Jobe has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -15.7 fewer adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Chris Paddack – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Chris Paddack’s higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (49 compared to 42.9% last year) is not ideal since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.