Game Location for Tigers vs Orioles – 6/12/25

Detroit Tigers

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Baltimore Orioles

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to face off against the Detroit Tigers on June 12, 2025, the stakes are high for both teams, albeit for different reasons. The Tigers enter this matchup with a strong 44-25 record, showcasing their status as one of the top teams in the league. In contrast, the Orioles are struggling at 27-39, marking a challenging season. This game is particularly noteworthy as the Orioles won their last game against the Tigers by a decisive score of 10-1, while Detroit is looking to rebound after a similar loss.

On the mound, the Orioles are set to start Keegan Akin, who has had a rough season. Akin projects to pitch only 1.1 innings today, allowing an average of 0.6 earned runs, which is below average, and he has struggled with hits and walks. In stark contrast, the Tigers will counter with Tarik Skubal, the leading pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Skubal boasts a 6-2 record with an impressive 2.16 ERA and projects to pitch a solid 6.0 innings while striking out 8.0 batters on average. His elite performance this season makes him a significant advantage for the Tigers.

While the Orioles’ offense ranks a disappointing 21st in MLB, they do have some power potential, ranking 13th in home runs. However, their overall batting average is only 22nd, which could lead to struggles against Skubal. The Tigers, on the other hand, have a much stronger offensive lineup, ranking 8th in the league and demonstrating their ability to score runs consistently.

With the Orioles’ bullpen ranked 6th in MLB and the Tigers’ bullpen at 2nd, this matchup is set to be a battle of pitching prowess. The projections favor the Tigers, who have a high implied team total of 4.37 runs, compared to the Orioles’ low total of 3.13 runs. As the two teams clash, all eyes will be on Skubal to see if he can dominate and help the Tigers secure a crucial win.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Tarik Skubal’s sinker rate has jumped by 6.2% from last year to this one (20.5% to 26.7%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Baltimore’s #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Javier Baez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Parker Meadows – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Parker Meadows hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (+170)
  Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ramon Laureano – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Ramon Laureano has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Baltimore Orioles have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gunnar Henderson, Ramon Laureano, Jackson Holliday, Coby Mayo, Colton Cowser).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-255)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)