Game Highlights for Rangers vs Twins – June 12, 2025

Texas Rangers

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Minnesota Twins

As the Minnesota Twins prepare to host the Texas Rangers on June 12, 2025, the stakes are palpable with both teams looking to gain ground in a competitive American League. The Twins currently sit at 36-31, enjoying an above-average season, while the Rangers are struggling at 32-36, marking them as underperformers thus far. In their last matchup on June 11, the Twins secured a solid victory, defeating the Rangers 6-2, which adds to the momentum as they head into this critical third game of the series.

Bailey Ober gets the nod for the Twins, projected to pitch an average of 5.6 innings and allow 2.7 earned runs. Despite a recent rough outing where he allowed 5 earned runs in his last start on June 6, Ober’s overall performance has been respectable, boasting a 4-2 record and a solid 3.78 ERA. His advanced statistics rank him as the 76th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he has been above average this season.

In contrast, Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Rangers, having pitched a complete game in his last start, allowing just 2 earned runs. However, his overall season has been less than stellar, with a 3-5 record and a 3.52 ERA that masks underlying struggles, as suggested by his 4.26 xFIP.

Offensively, the Twins rank 14th in MLB, while the Rangers sit at a dismal 28th. The projections favor the Twins significantly, with their lineup showing more depth and power, particularly from their best hitter who has been on fire lately, boasting a .429 batting average over the last week.

With the Twins favored at -150 on the moneyline and an implied team total of 4.35 runs, they look to capitalize on the Rangers’ weaknesses. As the series unfolds, this matchup could prove pivotal for both teams as they seek to define their seasons.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Patrick Corbin’s 90.6-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 10th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Adolis Garcia is penciled in 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – Moneyline (+130)
  The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Texas Rangers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
  Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (43.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #21 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Royce Lewis – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Royce Lewis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Minnesota Twins – Moneyline (-150)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 68 games (+22.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+190/-255)
  Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)