Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
(-115/-105)+125
The Colorado Rockies host the Chicago Cubs on September 14, 2024, in what promises to be an engaging matchup. The Rockies, sitting at 56-92 this season, are far from contention, while the Cubs, at 75-72, are fighting for a better position in the standings. The Rockies managed to secure a surprising 9-5 victory over the Cubs just a day prior, which could give them a boost heading into this game.
Kyle Freeland is set to take the mound for the Rockies, looking to build on a strong showing in his last start, where he went six innings without allowing an earned run. Despite having a Win/Loss record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.97, Freeland’s xFIP of 4.23 suggests he may have been unfortunate this season and could improve. However, he faces a challenge against a Cubs offense that ranks 14th in the league, which could exploit his weaknesses.
On the other side, Jameson Taillon will take the ball for the Cubs. Taillon has had a decent season, sporting a record of 10-8 and a solid 3.57 ERA, but his xFIP of 4.12 indicates he may be due for a regression. The Rockies, despite their struggles, have shown they can score, projecting an enticing team total of 4.84 runs for tonight’s matchup.
According to the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, the Rockies have a projected win probability of 48%, which is somewhat higher than their implied win probability. This could signify value in betting on the Rockies, especially given their recent performance and the potential for a close game. With the Cubs’ bullpen ranked 21st in the league, opportunities may arise for the Rockies to capitalize if they can maintain their offensive momentum.
Betting Trends
- Christian Bethancour – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Christian Bethancour has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)