Follow the Live Updates for Astros vs Athletics – 6/19/2025

Houston Astros

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Athletics

The Oakland Athletics will host the Houston Astros on June 19, 2025, at Sutter Health Park in what is shaping up to be an intriguing matchup in the American League West. With the Athletics sitting at 30-46 this season and the Astros at a much-improved 43-31, the contrast in team performance is stark. The Athletics are currently struggling, coming off a disappointing 11-4 loss to the Astros just a day prior, while Houston is riding high on their recent success.

Projected starters Jacob Lopez and Colton Gordon will take the mound for their respective teams. Lopez has had a rough season, with a 4.80 ERA and a 1-4 Win/Loss record. However, his advanced metrics suggest he may be due for some positive regression, as his 3.66 SIERA indicates he has been somewhat unlucky. In his last outing, Lopez showcased his potential by pitching six innings without allowing any earned runs and striking out nine batters. On the other hand, Colton Gordon, despite being rated as a below-average pitcher, has managed a 2-1 record this year with a respectable 4.70 ERA.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 9th in MLB, boasting a solid batting average of .275, while Houston’s offense sits at 11th overall. The Astros excel in batting average, ranking 2nd in the league, which could pose a challenge for Lopez, who faces a low-strikeout offense that is adept at making contact.

Betting lines currently favor the Astros as -145 favorites, while the Athletics are underdogs at +125. With a Game Total set at 10.0 runs, this matchup promises to be an exciting showdown, especially considering the potential for the Athletics to rebound after their recent loss.

Houston Astros Insights

• Colton Gordon – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Colton Gordon’s 2047-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Victor Caratini – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Houston Astros – 2H Moneyline
  The Houston Astros bullpen profiles as the 9th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
  Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  In the past 7 days, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.2% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Luis Urias pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Moneyline (-145)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena – Over/Under 2.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)
  Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)