Find the TV Channel Information for Yankees vs Reds – 6/23/25

New York Yankees

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Cincinnati Reds

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the New York Yankees on June 23, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the standings. The Reds are currently sitting at 40-38, reflecting an average season, while the Yankees are enjoying a strong campaign with a record of 45-32. This game marks the first in a series between these two storied franchises.

In their last outing, the Yankees showcased their offensive prowess, scoring decisively against their opponents. They will look to continue that momentum against Reds pitcher Nick Lodolo, who has had an average season himself, sporting a 5-5 record and a respectable ERA of 3.71. While Lodolo ranks as the 84th best starting pitcher in MLB, he faces a challenging matchup against a Yankees lineup that currently ranks 2nd in the league for runs scored and home runs.

On the mound for New York is Allan Winans, who has struggled this season and is viewed unfavorably in the projections. He is expected to pitch approximately 4.9 innings, allowing about 2.9 earned runs, which could be a recipe for trouble against a Reds offense that, while average overall, ranks 12th in home runs.

The Yankees’ strength lies in their high-powered offense, but they may be at a disadvantage against Lodolo, who has demonstrated good control with a low walk rate. This could neutralize the Yankees’ patient approach, which ranks as the most disciplined in MLB when it comes to drawing walks.

With a game total set at a high 10.0 runs, bettors might find value in the Reds, who have an implied team total of 4.82 runs. Given the current odds, this matchup offers intriguing potential for an upset, especially with Cincinnati’s offense looking to capitalize on Winans’s struggles.

New York Yankees Insights

• Allan Winans – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  The Cincinnati Reds have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Allan Winans today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Typically, hitters like DJ LeMahieu who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Nick Lodolo’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph decline from last season’s 94.1-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Jeimer Candelario – Over/Under Hits
  Jeimer Candelario has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Matt McLain, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+17.02 Units / 24% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+200)
  Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)