Find the TV Channel Information for Twins vs Reds – 6/18/25

Minnesota Twins

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Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Minnesota Twins in a critical Interleague matchup on June 18, 2025, at Great American Ball Park. Both teams are looking to build momentum after a closely contested game yesterday, where the Reds edged the Twins with a final score of 6-5. As it stands, the Reds hold a slight upper hand with a record of 38-35, compared to the Twins’ mark of 36-36.

The Reds are projected to start left-handed pitcher Nick Lodolo, who has had an up-and-down season. Lodolo, ranked as the 84th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics, carries an ERA of 3.76 and a win-loss record of 4-5 this season. However, his last outing on June 11 was particularly rough, as he allowed 6 earned runs over just 3 innings pitched. He’ll need to bounce back against a Twins offense that has been average at best this season, ranking 17th overall.

Bailey Ober, the Twins’ right-handed starter, has had a fairly average season as well, with an ERA of 4.40 and a 4-3 record. The projections indicate he’s likely to allow 3.1 earned runs while striking out around 5.1 batters today, which could play well against a Reds lineup that strikes out frequently, ranking 6th in the league in that category.

The Reds’ offense has shown some promise, ranking 10th overall in MLB and featuring a talented slugger who has been on fire recently, batting .429 over the past week with 4 home runs. With the Reds’ current moneyline set at -125, it’s clear that the betting markets expect a tight contest, yet their strong offensive capabilities combined with Lodolo’s potential for improvement could give them an edge in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Twins’ bullpen ranks 5th in MLB, which could be a deciding factor in the late innings if the game remains close.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
  Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (43.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue among all stadiums today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Lodolo.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Minnesota Twins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Lodolo has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 7.3% more often this year (51%) than he did last year (43.7%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+10.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• Willi Castro – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)