Find the TV Channel Information for Tigers vs Royals – 5/30/25

Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

@
Kansas City Royals logo

Kansas City Royals

-120O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)
+100

The Kansas City Royals will face off against the Detroit Tigers on May 30, 2025, in what promises to be an exciting matchup in the American League Central. Despite both teams having solid but contrasting seasons, the Tigers are currently enjoying an impressive run with a record of 37-20, while the Royals hover just above .500 at 30-27. The previous game between these two teams saw the Royals edge out a tight victory over the Tigers, winning 3-2.

Projected starting pitchers Seth Lugo for the Royals and Casey Mize for the Tigers provide an intriguing duel. Lugo has had an average season, sitting as the 115th best starting pitcher in MLB, with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 3.02. However, he may struggle against the Tigers’ high-strikeout offense, which is presently ranked 4th most strikeouts in MLB. Lugo’s recent performance, where he pitched 6 innings with 3 earned runs, provides a glimpse into his potential but his ability to limit runs will be put to the test.

On the other hand, Casey Mize comes into this matchup with a stellar record of 6-1 and an impressive ERA of 2.45. Mize’s recent form includes a solid outing in his last start, allowing just one earned run in 5 innings. Although he has a tendency to allow hits (5.7 on average), he has been effective in minimizing walks, which aligns well against a Royals offense that ranks 2nd least in walks this season.

The projections suggest that although the Royals’ bullpen ranks 10th overall, moving forward, the Tigers have a clear edge with a potent offense that ranks 8th in the league. With a game total set at 8.5 runs, oddsmakers indicate a tightly contested battle. Fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if the Royals can build on their recent win or if the Tigers will continue to assert their dominance in the division standings.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Casey Mize – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
    Casey Mize’s change-up utilization has increased by 7.5% from last season to this one (18.1% to 25.6%) .
    Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
  • Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)
    Typically, batters like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Seth Lugo.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Trey Sweeney – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
    Trey Sweeney hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Kansas City Royals Insights

  • Seth Lugo – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
    Seth Lugo has compiled a 7.8% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.
    Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
  • Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
    Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.
    Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
  • The Kansas City Royals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games
    Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
    The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-120)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games (+16.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
    Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)