
Cincinnati Reds
@

Washington Nationals
-140O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Chase Burns – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Chase Burns will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Dane Myers – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Dane Myers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in MLB.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Washington Nationals – Moneyline (+115)The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jorbit Vivas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Jorbit Vivas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83-mph dropping to 79.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-110/-120)Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
