
Cleveland Guardians
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Toronto Blue Jays
+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Cleveland Guardians – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)Slade Cecconi gave up a colossal 6 earned runs in his last outing.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Bo Naylor – Over/Under Total BasesBo Naylor has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .275 mark is a fair amount lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
- Cleveland Guardians – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen grades out as the 9th-best among all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
