Philadelphia Phillies
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Miami Marlins
+100O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Andrew Painter – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to the average starter, Andrew Painter has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -7.4 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)Bryson Stott has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.9-mph in the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Philadelphia Phillies batters as a unit place 28th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 6.5% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Miami Marlins Insights
- Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Max Meyer’s slider utilization has increased by 6.7% from last year to this one (46.8% to 53.5%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+180)Philadelphia’s #3-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Xavier Edwards, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Christopher Morel – Over/Under Total BasesIn today’s matchup, Christopher Morel is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.