Find Out How to Watch White Sox vs Mariners – Tuesday, August 5th, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Seattle Mariners

On August 5, 2025, the Seattle Mariners will host the Chicago White Sox at T-Mobile Park in what marks the first game of their series. The Mariners currently hold a record of 60-53, showcasing an above-average season, while the White Sox are struggling at 42-70, ranking among the worst in MLB. Seattle’s recent performance has been impressive, and they come into this matchup with momentum as they aim to capitalize on their playoff aspirations.

Bryan Woo is projected to take the mound for the Mariners. This season, Woo has been a standout, ranked as the 19th best starting pitcher in MLB, with an ERA of 3.11 across 21 starts. His ability to pitch deep into games, averaging 6.1 innings, and his impressive strikeout rate of 6.7 batters per outing give the Mariners a significant advantage. Woo’s high flyball rate might actually favor him against a White Sox lineup that has struggled to generate power, ranking 4th lowest in home runs this season.

On the other hand, Davis Martin will start for the White Sox. While Martin has a decent ERA of 3.84, his underlying metrics suggest he may not maintain that level of performance. His low strikeout rate and tendency to allow hits could be detrimental against a Mariners offense that ranks 10th overall and is particularly potent in generating home runs, sitting 4th in the league.

The Mariners are heavy favorites with a moneyline of -240, reflecting their higher implied team total of 4.52 runs compared to the White Sox’s 2.98 runs. Given the current trends in pitching and offensive performance, this matchup seems to heavily favor Seattle as they look to secure a vital victory in their pursuit of a playoff spot.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Davis Martin’s 2402-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 77th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Kyle Teel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  Kyle Teel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr.).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  Generating 19 outs per GS this year on average, Bryan Woo ranks in the 98th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 81.4-mph over the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The 9.3% Barrel% of the Seattle Mariners grades them out as the #9 squad in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 91 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+180)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 0.5 Walks Allowed (-195/+150)
  Bryan Woo has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)