Find Out How to Watch Rockies vs Rangers – Monday, May 12th, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Texas Rangers

As the Texas Rangers host the Colorado Rockies on May 12, 2025, both teams are struggling in the standings, with the Rangers sitting at 20-21 and the Rockies languishing at 7-33. This matchup is especially significant since both teams are looking to turn their seasons around. Recently, the Rangers managed a solid performance but still face challenges in maintaining consistency.

The projected starters for this Interleague clash are right-handers Tyler Mahle for the Rangers and Chase Dollander for the Rockies. Mahle comes into this game with an impressive ERA of 1.48 over eight starts, showcasing his above-average capabilities, ranked as the 89th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. Conversely, Dollander has struggled, posting a 7.71 ERA in six starts, making this matchup heavily favor Mahle.

From a hitting perspective, the Rangers’ offense ranks 27th overall, struggling to generate runs with just an average of 5.30 projected team total runs against the Rockies’ lowly 3.20 projected. Meanwhile, Colorado’s lineup has been among the worst as well, ranking 29th in both team batting average and team runs scored.

While Tyler Mahle’s projections indicate he could allow 2.2 earned runs today, his ability to limit damage against a high-strikeout Rockies offense—ranked first in strikeouts—gives him a distinct advantage. Dollander’s high walk rate of 10.0% could further complicate his outing against a Rangers offense that rarely draws walks.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Chase Dollander’s 96.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 98th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .339 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  The Colorado Rockies bullpen projects as the 7th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Tyler Mahle – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Tyler Mahle will ring up an average of 6 strikeouts today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Evan Carter is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+145/-185)
  Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)