Find Out How to Watch Rockies vs Blue Jays – Wednesday, April 1st, 2026

Colorado Rockies

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Toronto Blue Jays

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Kyle Freeland has a mean strikeout projection of 4 hitters in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .281 rate is inflated compared to his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Today’s version of the Rockies projected offense is weaker than usual, as their .291 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .314 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Kevin Gausman’s high usage rate of his fastball (53.7% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• George Springer – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  George Springer’s 16.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the 9th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-290)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 133 games (+23.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 151 games (+14.95 Units / 8% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+165/-215)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)