Find Out How to Watch Orioles vs Angels – Friday, May 9th, 2025

Baltimore Orioles

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Baltimore Orioles on May 9, 2025, both teams are looking to break out of their disappointing seasons. The Angels sit at 15-21, while the Orioles are slightly worse at 13-23. This matchup is crucial for both clubs, as they aim to build momentum in a competitive American League landscape.

In their most recent outings, the Angels suffered a tough 8-5 loss, while the Orioles fell 5-2. Notably, Kyle Hendricks is projected to start for the Angels, and he pitched well in his last start, going 8 innings with just 1 earned run. Despite this, he has struggled overall this season, with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 5.28. Conversely, Tomoyuki Sugano, who is expected to take the mound for the Orioles, has been more effective, boasting a 3-2 record and an impressive ERA of 3.00. However, projections suggest he may be due for a regression, as his xFIP stands at 4.45, indicating he has been somewhat fortunate.

The Angels’ offense ranks 26th in MLB, which is concerning, but they do excel in power, ranking 5th in home runs. This could be a key factor against Sugano, who is a low-strikeout pitcher facing a high-strikeout Angels lineup. Meanwhile, the Orioles’ offense ranks 22nd overall but has shown some pop, ranking 10th in home runs.

With the Angels currently sitting as underdogs at +125, the projections suggest they might have a higher team total of 4.38 runs compared to the Orioles’ 5.12. This game could be a pivotal moment for both teams as they seek to turn their seasons around.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  In his previous outing, Tomoyuki Sugano didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Ramon Laureano – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Ramon Laureano has big-time power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks doesn’t generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-140)
  The Baltimore Orioles projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Kyle Hendricks has averaged 96.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  This season, Zach Neto has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.4 mph compared to last year’s 94.5 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Los Angeles Angels bats collectively place 4th- in the game for power this year when using their 10.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.25 Units / 78% ROI)
• Kyren Paris – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700/-1500)
  Kyren Paris has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+6.50 Units / 162% ROI)