Find Out How to Watch Guardians vs White Sox – Sunday, July 13th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

@

Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians on July 13, 2025, both teams find themselves mired in disappointing seasons, with the White Sox sitting at 32-64 and the Guardians at 45-49. The Guardians recently triumphed over the White Sox, bolstering their confidence as they look to continue their success in this matchup.

Chicago’s pitching woes are highlighted by Aaron Civale, who is projected to start despite a troubling record of 1-6 and an ERA of 5.17 this season. Civale has struggled to contain opposing hitters, allowing an average of 4.8 hits and 1.6 walks per game, which is concerning given the state of the White Sox offense, ranked 30th in MLB. Their struggles are compounded by a lack of power, as they also sit at 28th in home runs.

In contrast, the Guardians will counter with Joey Cantillo, who has had a more promising season. Although his appearances have been split between starting and the bullpen, his ERA of 3.79 indicates a solid performance. The projections suggest that Cantillo has been somewhat unlucky, with an xFIP of 3.28, hinting at potential for better outcomes moving forward. With a win-loss record of 1-0 this year and an average of 5.3 strikeouts projected for this game, he could be a key factor in neutralizing the White Sox lineup.

Betting markets reflect a tight contest, with the White Sox at +115 and the Guardians at -135. While the Guardians have a slight edge, Chicago’s recent form and the strength of its home field could play a critical role, making this matchup worth watching for bettors looking for value in an otherwise challenging season for both teams.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Due to his reverse platoon split, Joey Cantillo will be in a good position matching up with 7 batters in the projected offense who hit from the other side today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (+280/-400)
  Jose Ramirez has averaged 46.7 steals per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 99th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-135)
  The Cleveland Guardians projected lineup projects as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+135/-170)
  Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2434 rpm is in the 83rd percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Chase Meidroth – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Chase Meidroth, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Chicago White Sox hitters jointly grade out 24th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 7.8% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 73 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Run Line -1.5 (+125)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 2.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)
  Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)