Find Out How to Watch D-Backs vs Tigers – Tuesday, July 29th, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Detroit Tigers

On July 29, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second game of their interleague series at Comerica Park. The Tigers are enjoying a solid season with a record of 62-46, while the Diamondbacks sit at 51-56, struggling to find their footing. Detroit has been bolstered by Casey Mize, who is projected to start; Mize boasts a 9-4 record and a stellar ERA of 3.40, although his 3.98 xFIP suggests he may not be able to maintain this level of performance moving forward.

In their last outing, the Tigers showcased their offensive prowess, scoring six runs against Arizona, highlighting their 11th best ranking in MLB for offense. While the Diamondbacks feature a strong lineup, ranking 4th in offense, they have had difficulty translating that into consistent success, particularly when facing quality pitching. Brandon Pfaadt, projected to start for Arizona, has a 10-6 record but a less impressive ERA of 4.76, indicating he’s been below average this season.

The matchup appears favorable for Detroit, as Mize’s low walk rate (5.9 BB%) should mitigate the Diamondbacks’ patient approach, which ranks 5th in MLB for walks. On the other hand, Pfaadt faces a challenge against a Tigers offense that strikes out frequently, ranking 4th in MLB for strikeouts.

With the Tigers favored at -140, the projections suggest an implied team total of 4.54 runs, reflecting confidence in their ability to capitalize on Pfaadt’s vulnerabilities. As the Tigers continue to push for a postseason berth, they will aim to build on their recent success as they face a struggling Arizona team.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+120)
  Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his weak side (0) today against Casey Mize
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup today (.315 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .330 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  Casey Mize is projected to average 2.59 earned runs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 107 games (+13.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 96 games (+11.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)