
Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Angels
(-110/-110)+170
As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to face the Texas Rangers on July 28, 2025, this matchup carries significant weight for both teams, especially with the Angels struggling at 51-55 and the Rangers sitting comfortably above .500 at 56-50. The Angels’ recent form has been less than stellar, and they find themselves as underdogs in this contest.
In their last game, the Angels managed a victory, but prior to that, they were on a troubling streak that highlighted their inconsistency this season. The Rangers, on the other hand, have been riding high, solidifying their position as a competitive force in the American League West.
On the mound, the Angels will send out Jack Kochanowicz, who has had a rough season with a 3-9 record and an alarming ERA of 6.03. Despite his struggles, projections suggest that he may have been a bit unlucky, as his xFIP of 4.83 suggests potential for improvement. However, he faces a daunting challenge against Jacob deGrom, who is coming off a stellar season and boasts an impressive ERA of 2.28. DeGrom’s elite status is further supported by his Power Rankings position as the 11th best starting pitcher in MLB, making him a tough matchup for the Angels.
The Angels’ offense ranks 18th overall but struggles significantly in batting average (24th) despite their power showing with a 4th place ranking in home runs. Conversely, the Rangers’ offense has been lackluster, ranking 27th overall, though they do have some speed on the bases, ranking 5th in stolen bases.
With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, the projections favor a high-scoring affair, particularly given Kochanowicz’s tendency to allow earned runs. As the Angels look to capitalize on any errors from the elite deGrom, this game could be a pivotal moment in their season, despite the odds heavily favoring the Rangers.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s game, Jacob deGrom may not last more than a couple framess considering he will be treated as more of an opener.Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
- Marcus Semien – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Batters such as Marcus Semien with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- It may be smart to expect better results for the Texas Rangers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)Jack Kochanowicz’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (34.5% compared to 21.5% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)In the past two weeks, Nolan Schanuel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Los Angeles Angels hitters collectively place 2nd- in the majors for power this year when assessing with their 11% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+115)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-140/+110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+125/-160)Evan Carter has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 63% ROI)