Explore Expert Picks and Betting Line for Dodgers vs Rockies – June 24, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Colorado Rockies

On June 24, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Coors Field for the first game of a series between these two National League West rivals. Both teams come into this matchup with contrasting fortunes: the Rockies, sitting at a dismal 18-60 record this season, have struggled mightily, while the Dodgers boast a strong 48-31 record and currently lead the division. Just two days prior, the Rockies managed a rare win against another opponent, triumphing 4-2, but the Dodgers were on the opposite end of a high-scoring affair, winning 13-7.

The matchup on the mound features German Marquez for Colorado, who has had a challenging season, sporting a 3-8 record and a troubling 6.11 ERA. Marquez’s advanced metrics suggest some bad luck, with a 4.78 xFIP indicating he could improve. However, projected to pitch only 4.6 innings while allowing an average of 3.9 earned runs, his struggles make it difficult for the Rockies to count on him against a potent Dodgers lineup.

Conversely, Los Angeles will send rookie Will Klein to the mound, who has yet to make a significant impact in his limited appearances this season. While his projections indicate he may allow a few runs, his strikeout potential could keep the Rockies’ struggling offense at bay. The Rockies rank 25th in MLB in team batting average, and their offense has consistently underperformed, reflected in their low ranking in various hitting categories.

With a Game Total of 11.5 runs—considered quite high—betting markets favor the Dodgers significantly, with an implied team total of 6.89 runs, further highlighting their offensive strength. The Rockies, while underdogs, could benefit from a pitching performance that belies Marquez’s rough stats, but the odds remain heavily tilted in favor of Los Angeles, making them the team to watch in this series opener.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Batters such as Max Muncy with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like German Marquez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen ranks as the 5th-best among all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+165)
  German Marquez is an extreme groundball pitcher (44% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue among all major league parks — in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+155/-205)
  Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to score the 3rd-most runs (5.66 on average) on the slate.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-145)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)