
San Francisco Giants
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New York Mets
+145O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-170
(-110/-110)-170
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Cesar Perdomo – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Cesar Perdomo in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Drew Gilbert – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Drew Gilbert is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- San Francisco Giants hitters collectively place 21st- in baseball for power this year when using their 7.6% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
New York Mets Insights
- Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170/+135)In his previous outing, Christian Scott struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 1 Ks.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Juan Soto is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Mark Vientos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Scott – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-145)Christian Scott has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
