Explore Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Angels – May 6, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

@

Los Angeles Angels

On May 6, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels host the Toronto Blue Jays at Angel Stadium in what is an intriguing American League matchup. Both teams are struggling, with the Angels at 13-20 and the Blue Jays at 16-18. The Angels are in dire straits after suffering a heavy 13-1 defeat in their last game on May 4, while the Blue Jays fell short in a close 5-4 game.

The pitching matchup features left-hander Tyler Anderson for the Angels and right-hander Jose Urena for the Blue Jays. Anderson has been a bright spot amid the Angels’ struggles, boasting a solid 2.67 ERA in six starts this season. However, his 5.09 xFIP suggests he might be overachieving, and he projects to give up 3.0 earned runs over an average of 5.8 innings. Urena, on the other hand, has had a rough start to the season, with an alarming 15.00 ERA in one start and one relief appearance. He projects to pitch just 4.8 innings and allow an average of 2.5 earned runs.

Offensively, the Angels’ attack is ranked 27th overall, and while they rank 7th in home runs, their overall production has been disappointing given their power numbers. The Blue Jays are not much better, sitting at 24th overall, with a surprisingly low ranking of 30th in home runs, which suggests a lack of explosiveness in their lineup.

In terms of betting odds, both teams have a moneyline set at -110, indicating that the markets see this game as a toss-up. However, considering the struggles Urena has exhibited, the Angels may have a more favorable matchup, particularly with their superior pitching performance from Anderson. The game total is set at a high 9.0 runs, hinting at a potentially high-scoring affair.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  Tyler Anderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #8 HR venue in the majors in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+140)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+430/-680)
  Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.10 Units / 151% ROI)