
Los Angeles Dodgers

Colorado Rockies
(-110/-110)+210
On August 19, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Coors Field for the second game of their series. The Rockies are struggling this season with a record of 36-89, while the Dodgers sit at a solid 71-54. Last night, the Dodgers took the first game of the series, further extending their lead over their division rivals.
Colorado will send Austin Gomber to the mound, who has had a rough year, posting a 0-6 record and an alarming ERA of 6.75. The projections suggest he may have been unlucky, as his xFIP sits at 5.56, indicating potential for improvement. However, Gomber’s high flyball rate of 45% could be problematic against a powerful Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB with 185 home runs this season.
Emmet Sheehan will take the ball for Los Angeles, boasting a respectable 3.86 ERA and a 3.23 FIP, which suggests he may have been a bit unlucky as well. Sheehan has a 3-2 record in just six starts this year, and he projects to strike out an average of 5.0 batters per game. With the Rockies’ offense ranking 25th in MLB, they may find it challenging to capitalize on any mistakes he makes.
Despite the Rockies’ poor showing this season, their offense has shown flashes of life recently. Their best hitter has been on a hot streak, batting .625 with an OPS of 1.625 over the past week. However, they will need a significant boost against a Dodgers team that ranks 3rd overall in offense and is heavily favored with a moneyline of -265 for today’s matchup. With a game total set at a high 12.0 runs, bettors should expect an offensive showcase from Los Angeles as they look to continue their winning ways.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-260)Emmet Sheehan is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue in the league in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive talent to be a .346, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .047 gap between that mark and his actual .299 wOBA.Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-245)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Austin Gomber – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Austin Gomber has used his non-fastballs 6.1% more often this year (65.7%) than he did last season (59.6%).Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Brenton Doyle – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 119 games (+11.92 Units / 9% ROI)
- Over/Under 12.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-185/+145)Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
