
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Philadelphia Phillies
+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Emmet Sheehan projects for an average of 14.7 outs in today’s outing, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Andy Pages has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best out of all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Cristopher Sanchez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Schwarber tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
