Dive Into Player Props Analysis for Rays vs Red Sox - Friday May 08, 2026

+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135

Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
Jesse Scholtens performed well in his previous game started and allowed 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
The 4.3% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays makes them the #30 team in the league this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Connelly Early – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Connelly Early projects to strikeout 4.5 bats in today’s outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Masataka Yoshida – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
This year, Masataka Yoshida’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.7% last year to just 0% this year.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Jarren Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+115)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Nick Fortes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
Nick Fortes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)

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