Discover the Game Time for Padres vs Athletics – Wednesday April 09, 2025

San Diego Padres

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Athletics

As the San Diego Padres visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics on April 9, 2025, both teams are looking to maintain their momentum. The Athletics recently broke a losing streak by winning their last game against the Padres 10-4, showcasing their capable offense. In contrast, the Padres, who have been riding high with a record of 9-3 this season, will look to rebound from that defeat.

Oakland currently sits with a record of 5-7, struggling to find consistency this year. Despite their overall struggles, the Athletics’ offense ranks 10th in MLB, bolstered by their power as they sit 3rd in home runs. This potency could pose a challenge for Padres pitcher Randy Vasquez, who has been less than spectacular with a 1.69 ERA but a concerning 6.61 xFIP, suggesting he may be due for regression.

The Athletics are projected to start Osvaldo Bido, who, despite being ranked as the 188th best starting pitcher in MLB, has shown promising signs with a 2.70 ERA. Bido’s last outing saw him throw 5 innings with 2 earned runs, which could be a solid foundation for this matchup. He’s expected to pitch 5.2 innings today, aiming to improve on his average strikeout rate while facing a Padres lineup that ranks 7th overall in offensive production.

The Padres may need their offense to step up if they want to stay competitive. Their best hitter has been performing well, hitting for a .364 average recently. However, with Bido’s ability to limit runs effectively, the Athletics might have the edge in this matchup. With a high game total of 9.5 runs, this contest promises to be a thrilling encounter with plenty of offensive fireworks. Betting odds favor the Athletics at -140, reflecting some confidence in their chances to continue their winning ways after a convincing last performance.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Randy Vasquez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Randy Vasquez has gone to his secondary pitches 20.5% more often this season (76.4%) than he did last season (55.9%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Gavin Sheets – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• San Diego Padres – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Diego Padres’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – Moneyline (-140)
  The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 102.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 99.6-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Brent Rooker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-115)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• San Diego Padres – Moneyline (+120)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 101 games (+18.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• Miguel Andujar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Miguel Andujar has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)