Discover the Game Time for Braves vs Rockies – Wednesday April 30, 2025

Atlanta Braves

@

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies will host the Atlanta Braves at Coors Field on April 30, 2025, in what is shaping up to be a critical matchup. The Braves, currently sitting at 14-15, are looking to make a push after winning convincingly against the Rockies, 8-2, in their last outing on April 29. Meanwhile, the Rockies are struggling mightily with a dismal 4-25 record, reflecting their tough season thus far.

The Rockies will send Chase Dollander to the mound, who has had a rough start to the season with a 1-3 record and an alarming ERA of 7.91. Despite being ranked 117th out of approximately 350 pitchers, projections suggest he might be due for some positive regression, as indicated by his xFIP of 3.93. However, Dollander’s recent form leaves much to be desired; his last start saw him allow 5 earned runs over 5 innings.

On the other side, the Braves will counter with Chris Sale, who is enjoying a bounce-back season with a 1-2 record and a solid xFIP of 3.62. Sale, ranked 25th among pitchers, has shown he can be dominant, as evidenced by his recent performance where he allowed just 1 earned run over 5 innings against the Rockies. His ability to strike out batters—currently boasting a 27.3 K%—could pose a serious challenge for a Rockies lineup that ranks 1st in MLB for strikeouts.

Offensively, the Braves rank 9th in the league, while the Rockies are struggling at 28th. This disparity in offensive production, combined with the strength of Sale, paints a clear picture as oddsmakers have set the Braves as significant favorites, likely to capitalize on the Rockies’ struggles. With a game total of 10.0 runs, bettors should keep a close eye on this matchup, which could see the Braves extend their winning momentum.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-260)
  Chris Sale is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #4 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Eddie Rosario – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Chase Dollander in the 82nd percentile among all starters in the majors.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Adael Amador – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  Extreme flyball batters like Adael Amador tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Sale.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Alan Trejo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Alan Trejo ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.02 Units / 32% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)
  Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 49% ROI)