Discover the Game Location for Marlins vs Nationals – Sunday, June 15, 2025

Miami Marlins

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Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals will host the Miami Marlins on June 15, 2025, in a matchup of struggling teams. Currently, the Nationals sit at 30-40, while the Marlins are slightly behind at 27-41. Both teams have faced tough seasons, making this National League East clash crucial for momentum. The Nationals are coming off a challenging game where they fell short against the Marlins, exacerbating their woes.

Washington’s projected starting pitcher, MacKenzie Gore, has been one of the few bright spots for the team, ranking as the 34th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. With a solid 2.88 ERA this season, Gore provides a strong contrast to Miami’s starter, Eury Perez, who has struggled mightily with a 12.00 ERA and an 0-1 record this year.

Gore’s high strikeout rate of 7.3 strikeouts per game coupled with his ability to limit earned runs gives the Nationals an edge, especially when facing a Marlins offense that ranks 27th in home runs this season. Additionally, Gore’s tendency to induce fly balls may not be detrimental against a Marlins lineup lacking power, as they have only hit 60 home runs this year, the 6th least in MLB.

On the other hand, Eury Perez, despite being a high-strikeout pitcher, faces an uphill battle against a Nationals lineup that ranks 5th least in strikeouts. The projections suggest this could hinder him from fully leveraging his strengths, particularly since Washington is also one of the least patient offenses regarding walks.

With a game total set at 7.5 runs, the Nationals carry a strong implied team total of 4.28 runs, reflecting expectations that they can capitalize on their pitching advantage and start turning their season around.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Eury Perez will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
  The Miami Marlins bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

• MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  MacKenzie Gore’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.1-mph decline from last season’s 95.9-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  James Wood has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.94 Units / 18% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)