Discover the Betting Trends for Dodgers vs Giants Game – Friday, September 12, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

San Francisco Giants

On September 12, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Oracle Park in a critical National League West matchup. Both teams are in different places this season, with the Dodgers holding a solid 82-64 record, while the Giants sit at 74-72. The stakes are high as the Giants look to gain momentum, but they are currently underdogs with a moneyline of +135.

In their last game, the Giants struggled offensively, and this trend may continue against Dodgers’ elite pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The projections favor Yamamoto, who is ranked 4th among starting pitchers in MLB and boasts a stellar 2.72 ERA. In contrast, Justin Verlander, projected to start for the Giants, has had a rough season with a 3-10 record and an ERA of 4.09. Verlander’s tendency to give up fly balls (39 FB%) could be problematic against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in the league for home runs, hitting 215 this season.

While the Giants’ offense ranks 18th overall, they have struggled particularly in batting average, sitting at 24th. Their best hitter has been performing well lately, recording 8 hits and 6 runs over the past week, but overall, the offense has not been producing at a high level. Conversely, the Dodgers have the 3rd best offense in MLB, and their best hitter has been on fire with 12 hits and 13 RBIs in the same timeframe.

With the Giants’ bullpen ranked 27th and the Dodgers’ bullpen sitting at 1st, the Dodgers look poised to capitalize on any mistakes made by San Francisco’s pitching staff. The game total is set at a low 7.5 runs, indicating expectations for a tight contest, but the Dodgers’ overall strength makes them the favorites to win this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Considering that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and his 49.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Typically, batters like Max Muncy who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Justin Verlander.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-145)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense projects as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Justin Verlander – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Justin Verlander has used his slider 10.8% more often this year (30.1%) than he did last season (19.3%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  The San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Run Line +1.5 (-135)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 53% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+530/-950)
  Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+10.20 Units / 146% ROI)