Discover the Best Player Props for Dodgers vs Rangers – 4/18/2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Texas Rangers

As the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Dodgers prepare for their showdown on April 18, 2025, both teams are riding high on recent victories. The Rangers secured a 5-3 win over their opponents yesterday, while the Dodgers edged out a nail-biter, winning 8-7. This Interleague matchup features two teams with impressive records, as the Rangers sit at 12-7 and the Dodgers lead the way at 14-6.

Starting for the Rangers is Jacob deGrom, who is currently ranked 19th among starting pitchers in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. Despite an average ERA of 4.30 this season, deGrom has shown flashes of brilliance. However, he faces a daunting task against a Dodgers offense that ranks 5th in the league and has been particularly effective at turning fly balls into home runs, with 34 long balls so far this year.

On the other side, the Dodgers will counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, an elite pitcher ranked 3rd in MLB, boasting a stellar 1.23 ERA. Yamamoto’s ability to strike out batters (33.7% strikeout rate) will be tested against a Rangers lineup that has been relatively disciplined at the plate, ranking 5th in the league for fewest strikeouts.

Given the current odds, the Rangers have a low implied team total of 3.66 runs, suggesting that the betting markets see a close contest. However, with deGrom’s potential for greatness and facing a high-walk Dodgers offense, the Rangers could pull off an upset if they capitalize on the opportunities presented. A low Game Total of 7.5 runs hints at a tightly contested affair, making this matchup one to watch as the teams look to establish early series momentum.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Will Smith is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-125)
  The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Given that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Jacob deGrom (39.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Jake Burger’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 79.8-mph in the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen profiles as the 10th-worst among all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)